By CHRISTINE MARIE
Antiwar
groups around the United States have designated the weekend of Oct. 5-7, the 11th
anniversary of the launch of the U.S. war on Afghanistan, as a time for public
demonstrations and major educational events. The United National Antiwar
Coalition hosted an Aug. 29 national phone organizing meeting attended by 49
representatives from peace groups wishing to participate in 19 states. The
Veterans for Peace national convention, held in mid-August in Florida, ratified
the UNAC call.
UNAC-associated
actions for which planning is already underway will take place in New York
City, Chicago, Minneapolis, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. In New York City,
the effort is being led by the Islamic Leadership Council, the Muslim Peace Coalition,
Black is Back, and Desis Rising Up and Moving, all groups especially interested
in highlighting the relationship between the war abroad and increasing
repression against communities of color at home. In San Francisco, civil
liberties are to be the major theme of a large teach-in at Laney College.
Rising
violence in Afghanistan, continued civilian casualties from drone attacks in
Pakistan, rising expenditures for weapons of war, and fears of
U.S./NATO/Israeli attacks on Iran or Syria are motivating activists from one
end of the country to another.
A
“Keep Space for Peace Week,” Oct. 6-13, with activities in Maine,
Massachusetts, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, England, India, and Sweden, is
including demands to End the Afghanistan War, Stop the Drones, and Say No to
NATO expansion.
Meanwhile,
a Code Pink Peace Delegation, organized out of the First International Drone
Summit held in April in Washington, D.C., will be making its way to Pakistan to
meet with victims of drone attacks and prepare reports on the humanitarian
impact of the unending U.S. war in the region. Despite the low level of
mobilization that election years bring, and despite the disorientation that
Washington’s shift from promoting massive troop deployments to secretive drone
warfare and special operations has wrought, the antiwar movement will be
visible this fall.
In
part, this is because Afghanistan is back in the news, and the unpopular nature
of the U.S. occupation has been driven home once again. On Sept. 1, the Washington Post reported that the U.S.
government is reacting to the recent escalation of “green-on-blue,” or
“insider,” attacks on U.S. troops by Afghan trainees by halting the training of
Afghan troops until a new system of background checks can be implemented. On
Sept. 2, The New York Times reported that U.S. troops have been ordered to carry
weapons at all times, including on supposedly secure U.S. bases.
Political
columnist Tom Engelhardt noted that the mainstream media response to this
glitch in the official narrative, the scenario in which the United States hands
over most fighting duties to Afghan troops by 2014, has been to begin floating
the idea that the U.S. just might not really be able to get out anytime soon.
In
this they concur with the assessment of former Afghan member of parliament
Malalai Joya, who said at the May 13-14 Chicago People’s Summit: “Obama and
Karzai claim the war will end in 2014, while on the other hand, they say that
U.S. troops will remain in some capacity until 2024. My friends, when 2024 comes
closer, they will say they plan to remain in Afghanistan until 2034. The
reality is that the U.S. and their NATO allies plan to dominate Afghanistan and
the larger region militarily for the next generation...”
As
one of the longest running wars in U.S. history, Afghanistan, and the
accompanying drone war in Pakistan, are well understood by the movement and
will be a focus in the October actions. The level of U.S. involvement in the
rest of the region needs to be the subject of continuing and broad education if
the movement is to be able to mobilize effective numbers in the street.
Since
the U.S. withdrawal of combat troops from Iraq in 2011, antiwar activists have
been debating its meaning. Was the redeployment of U.S. troops to regional
bases a historic turning point regarding the dominance of U.S. imperialism in
the Middle East?
Certainly,
the U.S. was thwarted in its plans to maintain huge military bases on Iraqi
soil as part of its greater efforts to retain control over access to strategic
energy resources vital to its international economic competitors, including
China. Yet redeployment has not seriously impeded the suppression of the oil
workers, the privatization of Iraqi oil, or its exploitation by British
Petroleum, Exxon, Chevron, Shell, and other U.S. and European companies.
According to Greg Muttitt, author of “What Ever Happened to Iraqi Oil?”, Iraq’s
output now places it in the number-two position in OPEC, a position previously
held by Iran, whose oil exports have been cut in half by U.S.-ordered
sanctions.
The
U.S. government’s momentary preference for “light-footprint warfare”—raids by
special operations forces, drone assassinations, proxy militias, cyberwarfare,
etc.—are the options available to an imperial power that has no real military
competitors in most regions of the globe. This shift, however, does not
correlate to a slowing of military intervention in terms of geography or
dollars. The latest Congressional Research Service annual arms sales report was
widely commented on by the antiwar community because it documented the fact
that in just one year, 2011, the Obama administration boosted export arms sales
by $42 billion. In the recent period, the U.S. government has facilitated a
jump in arms sales to the developing world from the $9 billion level of the Bush administration
years to $56 billion in 2011.
A
stunning proportion of those sales have gone to U.S. allies in the Middle East.
John Rees of the Stop the Wars Coalition UK recently wrote, “Between 1950 and
2006 Saudi Arabia purchased $63 billion worth of weapons and equipment through
the Pentagon’s Foreign Military Sales programme. In 2010 it announced a similar
amount of military purchases—but in just 15 years, not half a century.”
Proxy
warfare, however, is not the only game plan. The U.S. has been upgrading or
building new bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, and Jordan. In Kuwait,
15,000 troops are stationed in Camp Arifjan alone.
In
addition, the U.S. buildup for war with Iran is indisputable. Prof. Vijay
Prashad recently described the U.S. naval deployment in the Persian Gulf, a
deployment just boosted by the floating base known as the USS Ponce, as a “traffic jam of American
power in the Persian Gulf.” The Ponce joins USS Enterprise and USS Lincoln, both first-class warships that
are supported by a considerable battle group, as well as the various marine and
amphibious task forces of the U.S. Fifth Fleet based at the Naval Support
Activity station in Manama, Bahrain.
The
softening up of Iran via sanctions, assassinations, and covert ops continues
with the new sanctions designed to lower Iran’s ability to export oil below the
current level, which is already only 40% of their previous exports. The British
Guardian has reported that the sanctions
against the regime were already having a huge impact on the population, leading
to the quadrupling of food prices and dramatic shortages of medicine, including
for hemophiliac children.
Clearly,
the U.S. is not running from the Middle East with its tail between its legs. In
short, Washington’s inability to establish a puppet Iraqi regime effective
enough to make massive and permanent basing a reality was a setback but has not
in any way forced the U.S. to contemplate giving up its military and imperial
hegemony in the region.
The
reason is that the world capitalist economic crisis is intensifying
inter-imperialist rivalry and moving the U.S. capitalist class to undertake a
significant expansion in terms of dollars spent and in terms of the geographic
swath of the planet on which they hope to exert military hegemony. Mass
responses to the economic crisis by events like the Arab Spring and the Greek
general strikes have alerted the big powers to the fact that their current
method of economic rule, be it through despots or social democracy, is not
guaranteed.
Thus,
not only the United States but every major power is striving to increase its
military arsenal. Those who were formerly dependent on the U.S military to
protect their interests now understand that either they develop their own
military capacities or they will be shunted aside in the intensifying race for
resources and profits. The U.S.-led NATO war against Libya served as a perfect
example, when the U.S., England, France, and Italy jockeyed for position
regarding whose military forces would predominate in the destruction of that
nation and which would secure the largest percentage of the oil booty.
The
already severe sanctions and covert operations against Iran and Syria and the
increasing threats to implement a “no-fly zone” in Syria (which could only
begin to be implemented after the massive bombing of strategic air bases with
adjacent civilian areas) have but one objective, to re-integrate these nations
into the economic and military framework of the great powers and to stymie
competition from trade blocs led by China as they relate to energy resources,
pipelines, and markets.
The
heroic democratic upsurge of the Syrian people to depose Assad has to overcome
not only the normal obstacles faced by a people without a well-organized working-class
or revolutionary party but also U.S. intervention with arms via the Saudi and
Gulf Coast monarchies, CIA operatives on the ground, and U.S.-backed NGOs
advising from neighboring countries—all designed to prevent the taking of power
by genuinely democratic and anti-imperialist groupings based on the Local
Coordinating Councils. And soon, perhaps, the Syrian masses will have to face a
Libya-style NATO intervention.
Simultaneously,
Israel and the US are theatrically playing hard cop / soft cop regarding a
military assault on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Both countries are also creating
the kind of propaganda that will allow them to justify an assault on Hezbollah
in Lebanon as a military escalation occurs. Palestinian activists fear a
scenario in which a regional conflagration will allow Israel to take over the
entire West Bank once and for all.
The
expansion of the U.S. military on the African continent, a continent already
wracked by the most destructive interventions—proxy imperialist wars over
mineral resources, dramatic land grabs that are destroying subsistence
agriculture, and other tools of the new scramble for Africa—now includes a “war
on terror” game plan whose operatives are sited in continuous swaths from
Algeria to Mali to Nigeria to Uganda and Somalia beyond. Glen Ford recently
pointed out that the U.S. has pushed for renewed sanctions on Eritrea, one of
only four countries on the African continent that have refused to work directly
with the U.S. military command, Africom.
By 2013, the U.S. plans to have a
new 3000-soldier-strong roving unit of rangers, housed in safe spaces in
Africom friendly nations, available for dramatic strikes anywhere on the
continent.
The
so-called military “pivot to Asia” that is accompanying the efforts of the U.S.
to challenge Asian centric trading blocs via the Trans Pacific Partnership and
other measures is not mere propaganda. The new U.S. base on Jeju island is
designed to hold Aegis war ships, 38 of which make up President Obama’s U.S.
missile-defense system. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta announced in June
that by 2020 the greater part of American naval forces—including six aircraft
carrier battle groups as well as a majority of the navy’s cruisers, destroyers,
Littoral Combat ships, and submarines—would be stationed in the Asian Pacific.
The
Americas are not exempted. Washington is greatly expanding the so-called “drug
war “ in the Americas, with U.S. troops recently killing fisherman in the part
of Honduras that is home to the most radical elements of the ongoing fight for
land and sovereignty.
In
short, the global crisis guarantees that while the imperialists’ strategy and
tactics may change—less counter-insurgency but more counter-terrorism, fewer
troops but more drones and special ops, a “Presidential Kill List,”
etc.—imperialist wars are not on the wane but on the upswing and will be a
permanent feature of the political landscape. The efforts by the United
National Antiwar Coalition and many other peace groups to use the Oct. 5, 6,
and 7 weekend to educate new activists and regroup the veterans is a modest but
important step toward deepening consciousness and sustaining an antiwar
infrastructure. To find an organizing effort mounting activity for the 11th
anniversary dates, visit http://october7actions.net/wordpress/. See the UNAC
site at www.unacpeace.org.
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