By ANDREW POLLACK
In early August, the battle
for Aleppo still raged between government and opposition forces, with each side
taking, losing, and retaking neighborhoods. The heavily outgunned rebels—and
the city’s civilian population—faced murderous attacks by regime helicopters,
tanks, and artillery.
Aleppo is Syria’s biggest city
and its most important economically. As such it is home of the largest segment
of the country’s predominantly Sunni bourgeoisie—President Bashar al-Assad’s
main social base of support—as well as of the country’s working class.
Many observers on all sides of
the conflict predicted that the battle for Aleppo, coming right after
unprecedented fighting in the country’s capital, Damascus, could represent a
turning point heralding Assad’s downfall. Or it could instead be the opening
salvo in a new, much more bloody phase of the fighting, one perhaps that would
eventually rival in scale the 1982 massacre in Hama of tens of thousands by
Assad’s father.
In either case, antiwar and
solidarity activists in the U.S. and other imperialist countries must be keenly
aware of the heightened danger of intervention, as Washington and its allies
try to take advantage of these events, and we must step up organizing efforts
against such moves: U.S./NATO, hands off Syria!
The battle of Aleppo followed
hard on the heels of a shorter but tremendously symbolic fight over
neighborhoods in the country’s capital, Damascus. Following the assassination
of several key regime figures in a bombing attack, opposition forces launched
their first major attacks in the capital. When it became clear that Assad would
obliterate the people and buildings of any rebel-held neighborhoods, opposition
forces beat a tactical retreat. Still, the combination of the bombing and the
street battles had an impact roughly akin to the 1968 Tet offensive, in which
Vietnamese forces suffered massive casualties but won a huge psychological
victory by proving they could strike anywhere against U.S. forces, even in
Saigon.
The psychological blow
suffered by the Assad regime in Damascus likely explains the apparent
willingness of the rebels to stand their ground in Aleppo, a stance made easier
by the difficulty the regime has had finding forces to fight there without
seriously depleting its troops in the rest of the country.
One area lost to the regime and
of particular concern to it is that along the border with Turkey. The regime’s
defeat there has imperialists licking their chops at the prospect of setting up
a “no-go” zone for regime forces and facilitating transfer of arms and
personnel to those parts of the opposition that have been working with
imperialist and Gulf states.
The New York Times reported: “The secretary of
state, Hillary Rodham Clinton, speaking as though the Syrian insurgency’s
momentum was now unstoppable, said its territorial gains might be leveraged
into safe havens. ‘We have to work closely with the opposition, because more
and more territory is being taken and it will, eventually, result in a safe
haven inside Syria, which will then provide a base for further actions by the
opposition.”’
The U.S. has expressed
reluctance to intervene directly with either air power or ground troops, or
even to supply much in the way of arms to the rebels. So it’s possible the
rebels will oust Assad before such a “safe haven” becomes a reality. The more
likely and dangerous possibility is the anointing by Washington of a post-Assad
regime in meetings outside the country with pro-intervention leaders of the
Syrian National Council, or perhaps also from its newly-created rival, the
Council for the Syrian Revolution.
Those eager to ride to power
on the strength of Washington’s blessings (if not from any actual participation
in battle) will also have to contend with the possibility of a Yemen-style
solution, i.e., the removal of the regime’s top figure but the maintenance in
power of the bulk of his regime. As the Battle of Aleppo advanced, U.S.
officials made increasingly clear their desire for that type of solution.
Claiming to have learned from their “mistakes” in Iraq in ousting the entire
Baath from power rather than just Saddam Hussein, they argued that “stability”
in a post-Assad Syria will require a strong state, including its military,
which can only be provided by current regime figures.
U.S. Defense Secretary Leo
Panetta told the media that “I think it’s important when Assad leaves, and he
will leave, to try to preserve stability in that country. The best way to
preserve that kind of stability is to maintain as much of the military and
police as you can, along with security forces, and hope that they will
transition to a democratic form of government.”
In a similar vein, Foreign Policy magazine, reporting on months
of talks between U.S. officials and SNC figures under the auspices of the U.S.
Institute for Peace (USIP), noted that the project also “tried to identify
regime personnel who might be able to play an effective role in the immediate
phase after Assad falls. “There’s a very clear understanding of the Syrians in
this project that a transition is not sweeping away of the entire political and
judicial framework of Syria,” said USIP’s Steven Heydemann.
Meanwhile, perhaps in an
effort to prepare public opinion for the maintenance in power of such thugs,
Washington and its media allies have stepped up propaganda about an alleged
takeover of the opposition by “Islamists.”
A typical article was that in The New York Times on July 29 (“As
Syrian War Drags On, Jihadists Take Bigger Role”). Yet the further one gets
into the article the more one finds the authors, Neil MacFarquhar and Hwaida
Saad, undermining their own premises.
The reporters start with the
claim that “as the uprising against President Bashar al-Assad’s government
grinds on with no resolution in sight, Syrians involved in the armed struggle
say it is becoming more radicalized: homegrown Muslim jihadists, as well as
small groups of fighters from Al Qaeda, are taking a more prominent role and
demanding a say in running the resistance.” But the authors admit: “Even
less-zealous resistance groups are adopting a pronounced Islamic aura because it
attracts more financing.”
And the authors report
examples of local grassroots rejection of such groups. One such group demanded
their battle flag be flown during the weekly Friday demonstration in Saraqib.
The town, says The Times,
“prides itself in its newly democratic ways, electing a new town council
roughly every two months, and residents put it to a vote—the answer was no. The
jihadi fighters raised the flag anyway, until a formal compromise allowed for a
20-minute display.”
“A lot of the jihadi discourse
has to do with funding,” noted Peter Harling, an analyst with the International
Crisis Group. “You have secular people and very moderate Islamists who join
Salafi groups because they have the weapons and the money.”
The paper also admitted that
“there is, as yet, no significant presence of foreign combatants of any stripe
in Syria, fighters and others said. The Saraqib commander estimated there were
maybe 50 Qaeda adherents in all of Idlib, a sprawling northwestern province
that borders Turkey.
“An activist helping to
organize the Syrian military councils said there were roughly 50,000 fighters
in total, and far fewer than 1,000 were foreigners, who often have trouble
gaining local support.” That activist “described one local leader in Binnish, a
town near Saraqib, questioning the religion of Ahrar al-Sham members who he
thought were kidnapping too many local Shiites. He told them, ‘Damn your
religion — who is this God of yours you are bringing? I have been a Muslim for
40 years, and this is a God we don’t know,’ Rami said.”
Class forces in the revolution
The continuing grassroots
support for the revolution, and its base in the country’s exploited classes,
was illustrated in an account of the waves of refugees fleeing the fighting. Al Jazeera’s Zeina Khodr wrote on July 28
that “those who were crossing into Lebanon over the past week or so to escape
the fighting in Damascus were either supporters of the government or simply
those who didn’t take part in the uprising. They arrived in fancy cars—others
headed to hotels. They were in shock—very few actually believing that the
violence over the past year and a half finally reached their doorsteps.
“A few hundred meters from the
Manaa border crossing, Syrians who also fled the fighting were taking refuge in
a school. Many of them from Homs—the capital of their revolution—and Deraa—the
cradle of their revolution. None of them crossed into Lebanon through the
official borders. They used illegal routes because ‘we would have never been
able to pass the Syrian army checkpoint because of where we are from.’
“And there is resentment here.
Not just against the Syrian authorities but the urban elite. ‘All they care
about is making sure nothing happens to their fancy cars and apartments,’ Abu
Mohammed’s wife told us, referring to the people of Damascus.
Khodr quoted Stephen Starr, a
journalist who stayed in Damascus, explaining that the districts in revolt
since the start of uprising “are working-class neighborhoods,” citing economic
reasons for the origins of the revolt.
In the August issue of Harpers, Anand Gopal described how
these class dynamics played out in the political and social restructuring of
the town of Taftanaz once its workers threw out the regime’s forces.
Describing the origins of the
town’s popularly elected councils, he reports that once the regime left,
“courts stopped working, trash piled high on the streets, and the police stayed
home,” so “to fill the vacuum, citizens came together to elect councils—farmers
formed their own, as did merchants, laborers, teachers, students, health-care
workers, judges, engineers, and the unemployed.”
Council members made sure that
the town’s richest citizens bore the brunt of the expense of rebuilding the
town in the wake of Assad forces’ destruction. Said one: “This is a revolution
of the poor! The rich will have to accept that.” Said another: “We have to take
from the rich in our village and give to the poor.”
Gopal also described elections
by the town council to nationwide bodies representing all the councils. And he
included several choice quotes from Tantaraz residents, most of whom have faced
Assad’s bullets in battle, criticizing SNC and FSA top leaders as lazy fakers
representing no one but themselves.
The precious gains of the
revolution in Tantaraz show the potential for a reconstructed Syria if its
workers, peasants, women, and youth can gain power. But for that to happen, the
country’s exploited will need to deepen the reach and program of their mass
organizations, and to forge a revolutionary party to advance that process. One
obstacle in the way of doing so are the traitorous “leaders” of the SNC and
similar groups welcoming imperialist intervention.
And the main obstacle is
intervention itself, making clear once again the responsibility of antiwar
activists in the U.S. to demand that Washington keep its hands off Syria.
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